invest with us
A armadilha da meta de 1% ao mês
The trap of the 1% per month target


Dear investors,
In Brazil, from beginner investors to high net worth families believe that 1% per month is a good profitability target and adopt the strategy of seeking this return with the lowest possible risk.

…
Read more
In Memoriam: Daniel Kahneman
In Memoriam: Daniel Kahneman
p { text-align: justify; } Dear investors, Last week, Daniel Kahneman, a professor of psychology at Princeton and one of the pioneers in research related to behavioral economics, who questioned the premise of...
Read more
Por que investimos em Porto?
Why do we invest in Porto?
p { text-align: justify; } Dear investors, The ideal investment opportunity is to find a high-quality company trading at low prices in the market. This type of opportunity almost never appears when the scenario…
Read more
Breve história do sistema monetário
Brief history of the monetary system
Dear investors, Money is something so everyday that it may go unnoticed how ingenious its nature is. Current monetary systems are quite complex and, consequently, little understood by the vast majority of people, even among investors.…
Read more
O limite da previsibilidade
The limit of predictability
Dear investors, Mark Twain said that history does not repeat itself, but it rhymes. We have been experiencing a cycle of high interest rates in recent years, now coming to an end, which has caused most…
Read more
In Memoriam: Charlie Munger
In Memoriam: Charlie Munger
Dear investors, Last week, in a matter of minutes, news spread throughout the financial market of the death of Charlie Munger, Warren Buffett's partner at Berkshire Hathaway, who would have turned 100 in a month...
Read more
Mercado míope: por que investidores focam demais no curto prazo
Myopic market: why investors focus too much on the short term
Dear investors, There was a time when access to information was a major competitive advantage for investors. In 1815, while England and France were fighting the battle of Waterloo, banker Nathan Rothschild had his own...
Read more
O Brasil um ano após as eleições
Brazil one year after the elections
Dear investors, In October last year, we wrote our vision on how the Lula government would act in the new term. The excerpt below shows our expectations at the time: “(…) The biggest risk is that Lula ends up with…
Read more
Por que investimos em Multi?
Why do we invest in Multi?
Dear investors, Something we like to evaluate are opportunities to invest in “cold elite athletes”: businesses with an excellent track record of financial results, but that are undervalued due to poor results in the recent past, caused by…
Read more
A virada da maré na bolsa
The turn of the tide in the stock market
Dear investors, In the last 4 months, IBOV has risen around 20%. Therefore, it is natural to question whether there are still good investment opportunities on the stock market or whether the market has already adjusted to something close…
Read more
Uma década de investimentos
A decade of investments
Dear investors, 10 years ago, on June 27, 2013, we formed an investment club called Arcadia, with initial capital of R$ 126 thousand. At the time, the goal was to join efforts to better manage our…
Read more
Chips: o cérebro da economia digital
Chips: the brain of the digital economy
Dear investors, In April 1965, an article entitled "Cramming More Components Onto Electronic Circuits" appeared in Electronics Magazine. This publication, whose title can be understood in all its magnitude only by engineering enthusiasts,…
Read more
O caos tributário brasileiro e as propostas de reforma
The Brazilian tax chaos and reform proposals
Dear investors, Much of the political tension related to the new government has revolved around the issue of fiscal responsibility. In short, the new government declared the spending cap law inadequate and presented…
Read more
Inteligência Artificial: A próxima revolução tecnológica
Artificial Intelligence: The next technological revolution
Dear investors, The invention of steam engines at the end of the 18th century initiated a period of great advancement in economic productivity that became known as the first industrial revolution. This rapid progress was interpreted to…
Read more
O Pêndulo do Mercado
The Market Pendulum
Dear investors,   In a memo written in 1991 by Howard Marks, the famous fundamentalist investor at the head of Oaktree Capital Management, the movement of a pendulum is used as an analogy to describe the dynamics of…
Read more
Americanas e SUR: risco ou ruído?
Americanas and SUR: risk or noise?
Dear investors, One of the sayings repeated over and over again by Charlie Munger, the Berkshire Hathaway partner who turned 99 this month, is that “To the man with a hammer, every problem looks like a…
Read more
O lado difícil do value investing
The hard side of value investing
Dear investors, We ended 2022 with a return of -12.0% for the year, compared to +4.7% for the IBOV and -15.1% for the SMLL (small caps index). The cumulative return since the inception of the fund about 9…
Read more
Nuvens negras no horizonte
Black clouds on the horizon
Dear investors, In the last month, the IBOV dropped 2%, but the drop was much worse than it appears, as this value is masked by the movement of VALE3, which corresponds to 18% of the index portfolio and…
Read more
Como ficará o Brasil com Lula?
How will Brazil be with Lula?
Dear investors, The dispute between Bolsonaro and Lula left the country extremely polarized, with campaigns characterized by many sensationalist speeches and few government proposals. After the heat of the battle, what now matters to know is:…
Read more
Eleições 2022: Lula ou Bolsonaro?
Elections 2022: Lula or Bolsonaro?
Dear investors, As is customary in presidential elections, almost all public discussions of politics revolve around who will be the next president. Meanwhile, the positions of the National Congress, which largely determine…
Read more
A era da prova social
The age of social proof
Dear investors, It's hard to watch stock market movements without getting intrigued. At one moment, the opinion that the future is bleak prevails, and, soon after, a feeling of optimism infects the markets…
Read more
Davi e Golias no mercado financeiro
David and Goliath in the financial market
Dear investors, Today, the functioning of the financial market in Brazil is still unclear to most individual investors. For example, have you ever wondered how the big brokerages make money even though they offer free services…
Read more
A Ruína do Bitcoin
The Ruin of Bitcoin
Dear investors, Bitcoin reached its peak price in November 2021, around USD 68 thousand. From the peak to the 30th of June, its price dropped around 70%. We always avoid any investment…
Read more
A ameaça da inflação
The threat of inflation
dear investors Inflation has returned to the agenda of economic concerns both in Brazil and abroad. Despite being a subject with which Brazilians are familiar, most people only understand the…
Read more
E se a bolsa continuar caindo?
What if the stock market continues to fall?
Dear investors, In April, the IBOV fell by 10.1%. Prior to that, the index had risen by 17% from the start of the year to its peak on April 1st. The price of our share in Ártica LT FIA…
Read more
As falhas da mente humana
The flaws of the human mind
Dear investors, Being a good investor does not only require technical knowledge and dedication to analyzing opportunities, but also a certain temperament and psychological control that allow us to remain rational in any scenario we are facing.…
Read more
A Névoa da Guerra
The Fog of War
Dear investors, Our last letter talked about the difficulty of predicting the macroeconomic scenario and, a week after it was published, Russia invaded Ukraine. History shows that wars are always unpredictable and full of…
Read more
Como lidar com o cenário macroeconômico?
How to deal with the macroeconomic scenario?
Dear investors, At the beginning of the year, the market turned its eyes to Brazil's macroeconomy. With the high interest rate and the political uncertainty expected for the year, the themes of the moment are interest rates,…
Read more
Carta Anual 2021
Annual Letter 2021
Dear investors, We ended 2021 with a return of 19.4%, higher than the Ibovespa and the CDI which totaled -11.9% and 4.3% respectively in the period. The accumulated return since the beginning of the Fund, about 8 years ago…
Read more
Sugestões de Livros
Book Suggestions
Dear investors, Continuing our initiative from last year, we reserved our last letter of the year to suggest five books related to the topic of investments. As a criterion, we seek to prioritize books that we like a lot, but maybe not…
Read more
É um bom momento para investir no fundo Ártica?
Is it a good time to invest in the Artica fund?
Dear investors, We are frequently asked by our shareholders: “Is now a good time to make new contributions to the fund?”. Even among us, before this study there was no consensus for this answer, and internally there were those who…
Read more
Case de investimentos – Marcopolo
Investment case – Marcopolo
dear investors, In this letter, we would like to share our investment thesis in Marcopolo (POMO4), a stock that we bought between 2019 and 2021 and today constitutes a relevant position in our portfolio. It is not so common that managers…
Read more
Investimento em small caps
small cap investment
Dear investors, Historically, small cap investing has proven to be a consistently profitable way to outperform the market. Small caps are companies with the lowest market value and which, due to their size,…
Read more
Ações com compras de insider
Stocks with insider buys
Dear investors, An analysis that we deem very relevant for investment decision-making is to evaluate the level of purchases made by people who know internally the operation and the numbers of the companies – the…
Read more
Como conseguimos um retorno de 15,2x em 8 anos
How we achieved a 15.2x return in 8 years
Dear investors, On 06/27, Ártica LT FIA turned 8 years old. Since our inception in 2013, the fund has returned 15.2x equity, equivalent to an annual return of 40.6%…
Read more
Case de investimento: Wilson Sons
Investment case: Wilson Sons
Dear investors, Wilson Sons is an investment that we have had in our portfolio since the end of 2018 and, currently, it is a very relevant position in the fund. We decided to share it because it is a good example of our…
Read more
Para onde vai o câmbio?
Where does the exchange go?
Dear investors, Since the beginning of the Covid-19 crisis in 2020, the dollar exchange rate has fluctuated between R$ 5.00 and R$ 6.00, close to the historic peak value recorded on May 14, 2020, when…
Read more
Ações como hedge de inflação
Stocks as an inflation hedge
Dear investors, The concern with a possible return of inflation has grown all over the world. In Brazil it is no different: inflation expectations for 2021 have consistently increased in recent weeks. The latest Focus bulletin…
Read more
Os maiores retornos da bolsa desde 2005
Biggest stock market returns since 2005
Dear investors, Despite the major short-term challenges, the Brazilian stock market is enjoying a period of magnificent returns. Since the beginning of 2016, after having fallen by up to 38 thousand points, the Ibovespa has been consistently delivering…
Read more
Vale a pena investir em IPO?
Is it worth investing in an IPO?
Dear investors, The Brazilian capital market is experiencing a new cycle of IPOs[1]. Between 2019 and 2020, we had 33 companies debuting on the stock exchange, which moved a total of R$ 54 billion. In 2021, we already had…
Read more
Carta Anual 2020
Annual Letter 2020
Dear investors,   We ended 2020 with an annual return of 7.1%, higher than the Ibovespa and the CDI which totaled, respectively, 2.9% and 2.8% in the period. The accumulated return since the inception of the Fund, around…
Read more
Sugestão de livros
Book suggestion
Dear investors, Considering that many usually take at least a few days of vacation in December and/or January, we dedicate this month's letter to the suggestion of five books related to the topic of investments. These are books we like...
Read more
Problemas da tese de diversificação
Diversification thesis problems
Dear investors,   In January 2020, we sent a letter commenting on our portfolio management process and our strategy for determining the percentage of equity allocated to each position. A point of…
Read more
Case de investimento: Grupo Biotoscana
Investment case: Grupo Biotoscana
dear investors, In January 2020, we sent a letter commenting on our portfolio management process and our strategy for determining the percentage of equity allocated to each position. A dot…
Read more
Investimento de Buffett na Coca-Cola
Buffett's investment in Coca-Cola
Dear investors, On August 30th, Warren Buffett turned 90. To celebrate the date, we decided to bring you an analysis of one of his most iconic investments: the purchase of a relevant stake in…
Read more
Investimentos em empresas de qualidade
Investments in quality companies
Dear investors, Throughout our conversations and presentations to investors, we always highlight the importance of investing in quality companies with a long-term vision. In this letter, we're going to discuss with a little…
Read more
Case de Investimento: Unipar Carbocloro
Investment Case: Unipar Carbocloro
Dear investors, We had a few months with a very busy market. Given the period of uncertainty and anguish, we dedicate our last letters to more appropriate aspects for that moment, such as investments in times of crisis and…
Read more
Investimentos em ações para longo prazo (Parte 2)
Investing in stocks for the long term (Part 2)
Dear investors, Considering the turbulent scenario we live in, we have dedicated the last few letters to bring a historical perspective on stock investments. We have already written two letters on the subject, the first addressed the subject…
Read more
Investimentos em ações no longo prazo (Parte 1)
Investing in stocks for the long term (Part 1)
Dear investors, The moment of uncertainty in which we live, caused by the Covid-19 crisis, has generated large fluctuations in the markets, which can cause anxiety for investors, especially those who started investing in the stock market a long time ago.
Read more
Investimentos em tempo de crise
Investing in times of crisis
Dear investors, In order to try to draw parallels and understand potential implications for our investment decisions at this time of the pandemic caused by Covid-19, we decided to seek a historical perspective of how the capital market reacted in other…
Read more
Case de investimento: Long-short em Bradespar-Vale
Investment case: Long-short in Bradespar-Vale
Dear investors, In this memo, we share with you an unorthodox arbitrage investment that we carried between 2018 and 2019 and it generated great results for us. It is a good example of using the risk-return asymmetry in favor…
Read more

Sign up for our newsletter

en_US
pt_BR en_US

Invest with us