{"id":4209,"date":"2024-01-08T18:39:24","date_gmt":"2024-01-08T21:39:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/artica.capital\/asset-videos\/o-limite-da-previsibilidade-cartas-mensais-21\/"},"modified":"2025-08-21T12:44:15","modified_gmt":"2025-08-21T15:44:15","slug":"o-limite-da-previsibilidade-cartas-mensais-21","status":"publish","type":"aam-videos","link":"https:\/\/artica.capital\/en\/asset-videos\/o-limite-da-previsibilidade-cartas-mensais-21\/","title":{"rendered":"The Limit of Predictability \u2013 Monthly Letters #21"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"wp-block-group has-global-padding is-content-justification-left is-layout-constrained wp-container-core-group-is-layout-133fd709 wp-block-group-is-layout-constrained\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"The Limit of Predictability - Monthly Letters #21\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/UU2sXRD19WI?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>In this month&#039;s letter, Ivan Barboza, manager of \u00c1rtica Long Term FIA, explains how to take a more realistic and philosophical approach to the future of the economy and the possibility of predicting it. He also shared how some of our theses have evolved over the past year. Full letter: https:\/\/artica.capital\/cartas\/o-limite-da-previsibilidade\/ 00:00 \u2013 Introduction 3:29 \u2013 History is defined by unpredictable events 11:22 \u2013 However, not everything is unpredictable 18:12 \u2013 It&#039;s easier to predict what will happen than when 26:51 \u2013 Some mistakes are inevitable 32:00 \u2013 It&#039;s vital to adopt a consistent approach<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-group has-pureza-background-color has-background is-layout-grid wp-container-core-group-is-layout-90834c91 wp-block-group-is-layout-grid\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-group is-vertical is-layout-flex wp-container-core-group-is-layout-d2a5859e wp-block-group-is-layout-flex\" style=\"padding-top:58px;padding-right:40px;padding-bottom:58px;padding-left:40px\">\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" style=\"font-size:24px;letter-spacing:-0.25px\">Watch more videos from \u00c1rtica<\/h3>\n\n\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@articainvest?sub_confirmation=1\" style=\"font-size:16px;font-style:normal;font-weight:300;\" class=\"is-style-link wp-block-pycblocks-buttonpyc\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"text-wrap: nowrap; margin-right:8px;\">Go to Youtube<\/span><span style=\"display:inline-flex;align-items:center;justify-content:center;fill:#000000;color:#000000;width:14px;height:14px;max-height:14px;vertical-align:middle;flex-shrink:0;\"><svg width=\"20\" height=\"20\" viewbox=\"0 0 20 20\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\"><rect width=\"20\" height=\"20\" fill-opacity=\"0.01\" style=\"mix-blend-mode:multiply\"\/><path d=\"M11.25 3.75L10.3562 4.62063L15.0938 9.375H2.5V10.625H15.0938L10.3562 15.3581L11.25 16.25L17.5 10L11.25 3.75Z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/a><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-cover is-light wp-container-content-3a6eef98\" style=\"min-height:203px;aspect-ratio:unset;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"778\" class=\"wp-block-cover__image-background wp-image-1042 size-large\" alt=\"-\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/perspectiva-da-pessoa-que-cria-conteudos-de-viagens-com-o-smartphone-1024x778.jpg\" data-object-fit=\"cover\" srcset=\"https:\/\/artica.capital\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/perspectiva-da-pessoa-que-cria-conteudos-de-viagens-com-o-smartphone-1024x778.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/artica.capital\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/perspectiva-da-pessoa-que-cria-conteudos-de-viagens-com-o-smartphone-300x228.jpg 300w, https:\/\/artica.capital\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/perspectiva-da-pessoa-que-cria-conteudos-de-viagens-com-o-smartphone-768x583.jpg 768w, https:\/\/artica.capital\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/perspectiva-da-pessoa-que-cria-conteudos-de-viagens-com-o-smartphone-1536x1166.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/artica.capital\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/perspectiva-da-pessoa-que-cria-conteudos-de-viagens-com-o-smartphone-2048x1555.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><span aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-cover__background has-background-dim-0 has-background-dim\"><\/span><div class=\"wp-block-cover__inner-container is-layout-flow wp-block-cover-is-layout-flow\">\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center has-large-font-size\"><\/p>\n<\/div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Na carta desse m\u00eas, Ivan Barboza, gestor do \u00c1rtica Long Term FIA, conta como ter uma abordagem mais realista e filos\u00f3fica sobre o futuro da economia e a possibilidade de prev\u00ea-lo. Al\u00e9m disso, o gestor aproveitou para contar sobre como algumas de nossas teses evolu\u00edram ao longo do ano passado. <\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":4208,"template":"","meta":[],"class_list":["post-4209","aam-videos","type-aam-videos","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/artica.capital\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/aam-videos\/4209","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/artica.capital\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/aam-videos"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/artica.capital\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/aam-videos"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/artica.capital\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/artica.capital\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4208"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/artica.capital\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4209"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}